Technorama

An omnibus of tech posts by a Futurologist on software development primarily.

Wednesday, 8 April 2020

 

New norms post pandemic Covid-19 SARS v2

What is life and work going to be like post Covid-19? Feels like governments have had a wake-up call, even the Asian countries who were prepared due to SARS experience.

More home working, more freelancers, more startups, more distance learning, less recreation in parks and team sports, less travel, less holidays, less flights, much fewer cruises, more self-isolation and quarantine after returning from even routine trips.

SARS hit China in 2003 (Bats -> Civets -> Humans)
MERS hit Saudi Arabia (Camel Flu)  in 2012 - 36% death rate of those diagnosed



Monday, 6 April 2020

 

The Ignorance of Crowds

We've all read about the Wisdom of Crowds, but what happens when the wrong people are in the crowd?

There have been many battles, VHS vs Betamax is one famous one, VHS the worse technical standard won out, because it had more users, and was widely adopted, this is the "network effect". Betamax, with its higher quality format, but shorter play time lost out.

MS-DOS Vs IBM and everyone else, because MS-DOS was pre-installed, the fate of everyone was was pretty much sealed, even though technically it was poor, and the technology was mediocre.

We see it again with phones, low-cost Android wins out over higher priced Apple and Android phones in the market place.



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